Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011429 0.013889 0.016996 0.021308 0.027311 0.035656 0.048698
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008323 0.010984 0.014789 0.020940 0.031331 0.049811 0.090337
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006481 0.008943 0.012717 0.019394 0.032175 0.059317 0.138615
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005404 0.007701 0.011409 0.018444 0.033361 0.070461 0.216316
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004767 0.006992 0.010752 0.018368 0.036224 0.088791 0.389774
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004365 0.006577 0.010486 0.018934 0.040932 0.119455 0.891934
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003985 0.006132 0.010062 0.019011 0.044495 0.153439 2.283783
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003583 0.005589 0.009344 0.018203 0.045044 0.176435 5.493082
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003291 0.005206 0.008876 0.017859 0.046981 0.214029 26.827616
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003152 0.005084 0.008912 0.018796 0.054275 0.319725 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003074 0.005063 0.009154 0.020379 0.065927 0.561768 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002994 0.005030 0.009361 0.021965 0.079945 1.092442 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002791 0.004749 0.009016 0.021948 0.087196 1.844757 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002587 0.004451 0.008589 0.021567 0.092571 3.154533 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002350 0.004056 0.007868 0.019957 0.087916 3.610160 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002169 0.003764 0.007361 0.018969 0.087079 4.981838 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002050 0.003591 0.007125 0.018890 0.093601 11.687903 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001972 0.003496 0.007071 0.019479 0.107583 91.099911 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001880 0.003364 0.006900 0.019558 0.117652 55553.628779 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001764 0.003166 0.006529 0.018718 0.116551 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001675 0.003023 0.006289 0.018360 0.121080 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001638 0.002992 0.006350 0.019335 0.146557 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001621 0.003005 0.006535 0.020982 0.192519 NaN NaN